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Market Realized Earnings & Forecasts

August 28, 2020

The S&P 500 recently crossed into new all time highs as the market shrugs off the coronavirus threat. Applied Finance’s database processes forecast data for over 20,000 companies worldwide. We decided to take a look […more]

Is the S&P 500 a Value, Core, or Growth strategy?

August 19, 2020

Is the S&P 500 a Value, Core, or Growth strategy? It depends.
The push in megacap stocks has caused index concentration to be at the highest levels since the 1970’s. Additionally, the Covid-19 pandemic and drop in interest rates has led investors to favor Growth stocks so far this year, exacerbating the trend. […more]

Growth Stocks Approaching Valuation Levels Last Observed During Tech Bubble

August 11, 2020

While we rarely make huge market calls and remain reluctant to do so at this point, its worth noting that growth stocks are trading at below -1.5 StdDev from historical normal levels signaling a significant move outside of normal range. This is especially noteworthy, as the growth relationship in the Russell 1000 is now at levels last observed in the peak of the tech bubble. […more]

Shareholder Yield in the Era of Low Interest Rates

August 4, 2020

Investors too often focus solely on dividends, when they should consider a combination of dividends and share repurchases. In a decade-long spell of low interest rates, public companies have strong incentives to reconsider their capital […more]

Excessive Crowding of “Low Risk” Stocks: Size & Leverage Analysis

August 4, 2020

“High risk” stocks, based on smaller market caps and higher levels of leverage, outperformed the overall US market by nearly 11.4% on a cap-weighted basis in Q2. This is attributable to improving investor expectations regarding a “v-shaped” recovery following significant underperformance of “high risk” stocks in 2020 Q1 by -22.0%. […more]

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