Given the significant volatility over the previous 12 months in overall market returns and style-based indices, we believe it is helpful to provide ongoing guidance related to the aggregate intrinsic value characteristics of popular indices […more]
In our Valuation Beta working paper, we emphasized the valuation vs cheapness contrast between intrinsic value and book to price (HML) classifications. This highlighted that “cheap” HML classifications unsupported by intrinsic value were a source […more]
In just 12 short months, $8.3T flooded into the US Economy and the country is spending much more than current tax revenues allow. The bill will come due, and it will begin to come due soon. 2022 now appears to be the most likely start for tighter policies. […more]
We stressed in our 20Q4 newsletter that over longer time horizons, since the mid-90s, Large and Growth factors have not consistently generated alpha. This observation was quickly proven true YTD, as Large and Growth significantly lagged Small and Value. While those traditionally defined style factors are helpful in explaining short-term performance, we believe in the long term, it is valuation that delivers alpha. […more]
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